Show notes

In Pursuit of a Parlay returns with Chris Horwedel breaking down 8 UEFA Nations League betting picks across Saturday and Sunday, featuring detailed statistical analysis, expected goals (xG), team form, injuries, and the reasoning behind each selection. Chris begins with three goal-total selections: Kosovo vs. Israel, Georgia vs. Hungary and Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine, all under 3.5 goals. He examines each team's attacking production, defensive record, and underlying chance creation to explain why these matches could remain relatively low-scoring. The next selections focus on Austria vs. Republic of Ireland and Portugal vs. Denmark, with Chris backing at least two total goals in the Austria matchup and Portugal to score twice against Denmark. He examines recent performances, individual scoring trends, and potential lineup changes. Sunday's picks feature France to defeat Türkiye, Italy to score against Belgium and Spain to score at least two goals against England. Chris looks at players including Michael Olise, Gonçalo Ramos, Pio Esposito and Lamine Yamal, while accounting for injuries, rotation risks and what each national team still has to play for. The episode finishes with the complete 8-leg Nations League parlay at approximately +873 odds, including the potential payout, the biggest risks, and a reminder of why even individually promising selections become difficult when combined. For listeners looking for Nations League predictions, soccer betting analysis, over/under goals picks, and an 8-leg weekend parlay, this episode provides a statistical breakdown of every selection.