Episode 350: Hot Stove Is On Fire
On this week’s episode, we discuss a burning hot stove that saw new homes for Pete Alonso and Edwin Diaz, and Kyle Schwarber staying in Philly.
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This week on The Underdog NFL Show:
00:13 – Intro & State of the NFL
Chris and Mario open with frustration about the season’s chaos. They note how late it is to have so few teams clinched, surprise playoff qualifiers, and how wide-open divisions and draft positioning still are.
03:16 – Betting Philosophy & Live-Line Inefficiencies
Chris explains why early blowouts often create value later in games, focusing on first-quarter score swings and market overreactions.
04:16 – Raiders Coaching Odds & Tom Brady Talk
They react to oddsmakers’ Raiders coaching props, uninspiring candidate lists, and the absurdity of Tom Brady hype as owner, announcer, and hypothetical coach.
07:44 – Chiefs Futures: Reid, Kelce & QB Recklessness
Discussion of Andy Reid retirement speculation, Travis Kelce’s timeline, Mahomes’ injury management, and why rushing back stars rarely makes sense.
09:58 – Absurd QB Comeback Odds
They laugh through oddsmakers’ retired-QB list (Cam Newton, Foles, Kaepernick, Ryan, Fitzpatrick, Luck), debating realism vs. novelty.
15:43 – Draft Order Chaos & QB Development
Deep dive into tank races, trading down from No. 1, Giants’ options, concussion concerns for young QBs, and why experience matters more than hype.
NFL Week 16 Games
17:13 – Rams at Seahawks (TNF)
NFC West positioning and motivation despite clinches.
19:15 – Eagles at Commanders (Saturday)
Division matchup with playoff and draft implications.
23:45 – Packers at Bears (Saturday)
NFC North tiebreakers and late-season momentum.
26:41 – Bills at Browns
Buffalo urgency vs. Cleveland’s defensive impact.
28:20 – Chiefs at Titans
Strange line for a lopsided matchup and motivation questions.
29:02 – Chargers at Cowboys
Two inconsistent teams with volatile outcomes.
30:18 – Vikings at Giants
Young QB development vs. organizational dysfunction.
31:49 – Jets at Saints
New Orleans’ unexpected surge against a lost Jets team.
33:19 – Buccaneers at Panthers
Two teams trying to define what they actually are.
38:46 – Falcons at Cardinals
Low-confidence teams searching for footing.
39:52 – Jaguars at Broncos
Denver’s playoff security tested by a dangerous opponent.
40:40 – Raiders at Texans
Houston’s chance to capitalize against league chaos.
47:16 – Steelers at Lions
Detroit’s push to stabilize vs. Pittsburgh’s ceiling.
47:56 – Patriots at Ravens
Baltimore urgency against a disciplined opponent.
49:48 – 49ers at Colts (MNF)
Veteran QB storyline and contrasting team directions.
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Author
Chris Horwedel
A lifelong sports fan who created NFL Draft Blitz all the way back in 1999. Chris founded Deep(ish) Thoughts in July of 2015 and that evolved into Underdog Sports in September of 2017. In his spare time, he enjoys watching Philadelphia sports teams, especially his beloved 76ers. #TrustTheProcess is a way of life.
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